22 BB on J73r: Defend The Cheap Stab

Hero
2♦2♠
Position
BB vs UTG
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
3♦ 7♥ J♠

Against a third-pot continuation bet on a dry board, our underpair has the price to peel once rather than over-folding.

Flop Analysis

Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.

Flop Analysis

Calling is the preferred play here over folding, though solver does mix both. Facing a tiny third-pot bet on a dry board, our underpair functions as a pure bluff-catcher that comfortably meets the price to see a turn. **Math:** Facing a 33% pot bet, we need just 20% equity (getting 4.0:1) to continue. Holding roughly 40% raw equity against UTG's range makes folding too tight against this sizing. **Ranges:** UTG's small stab range contains a heavy portion of broadway misses like ace-king and ace-queen that we currently beat. Folding underpairs immediately gives up too much equity against an opponent betting range-wide. --- > **Takeaway:** When facing a third-pot c-bet on dry textures, don't over-fold pocket pairs that beat villain's extensive air.

Note: Folding to a 33% pot continuation bet gives up too much equity; our underpair is ahead of broadway air and gets the right price to peel.

Key Concepts

  • Multi-Street Play
  • Villain Strong Advantage
  • OOP
  • Dry Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK