A5s CO on K87r: Stab The Turn Flush Draw

Hero
A♥5♥
Position
CO vs BB
Pot
3-Bet Pot
Flop
7♥ 8♠ K♠

After BB checks twice on a paired King-high board, leverage the nut flush draw by firing on the turn instead of checking through.

Flop Analysis

Checking back is completely standard here. While our hand has backdoor flush potential and an overcard, the overall range strategy leans toward checking over half the time on this connected board.

Turn Analysis

We should bet here when checked to a second time. Turning the nut flush draw gives us excellent semi-bluffing equity, and BB's consecutive checks indicate significant weakness. **Ranges:** BB's checking range is heavily weighted toward missed overcards like AdQd or AcQc and vulnerable underpairs that struggle against continued aggression. Our range holds a substantial equity advantage and retains trips like KdJd and full houses. **Plan:** Firing either a small probe or an overbet puts maximum pressure on BB's floating range while maintaining 9 clean river outs to the nuts if called. --- > **Takeaway:** When an out-of-position 3-bettor checks twice on a paired board, attack with turned nut draws rather than taking free cards.

Note: Missed semi-bluff on the turn after turning the nut flush draw against a capped checking range.

River Analysis

Checking behind is pure. Rivering a five gives us two pair, but it only functions as showdown value against missed broadways rather than a hand that can bet for value and get called by worse.

Key Concepts

  • 4.2
  • Hero Strong Advantage
  • IP
  • Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK