Flop Analysis
Checking our entire range OOP as the preflop caller is standard on this low, connected texture.
Probing the turn after the button checks back is great, but a small third-pot bet extracts far more value from marginal holdings.
Checking our entire range OOP as the preflop caller is standard on this low, connected texture.
Probing on the turn is the right strategic instinct after the button checks back the flop, but our sizing is far too aggressive. A small one-third pot bet (2.0BB) accomplishes everything we want without blowing Villain off hands that can call. **Ranges:** The button's flop check caps their range, leaving them heavy on marginal pairs like 7x or 4x, as well as floated broadway overcards. Sizing up to 4.5BB forces those exact holdings to fold while isolating us against straights, two pairs, or slow-played sets. **Sizing:** A small bet of 2.0BB (33% pot) gives Villain roughly 4:1 on a call, compelling underpairs and gutshots like KdJd or QhJh to continue. Overbetting or sizing up to 75% pot folds out all the equity we dominate while offering zero added value against better hands. --- > **Takeaway:** When probing against a capped range on the turn, use a small sizing to keep marginal bluff-catchers and drawing hands in the pot.
Note: Betting 4.5BB (75% pot) is too large; a 2.0BB (33% pot) probe keeps the button's dominated pairs and floated overcards in the hand.