76s CO on T54r: Triple Barrel Bluffs
- Hero
- 7♣6♣
- Position
- CO vs BTN
- Pot
- Single-Raised Pot
- Flop
- 4♦ 5♥ T♠
We should lean toward checking our draw on the flop, but once we barrel the turn, the river Ace is a mandatory follow-through.
Flop Analysis
Checking is the preferred play here. While we have an open-ended straight draw, we are out of position and the board favors the caller's condensed range of pocket pairs and Ten-X holdings.
**Ranges:** BTN's calling range is heavy on hands like 88, 99, and Tx, which have high equity against us. By checking, we protect our range and can comfortably check-call to realize our equity.
**Board:** A Ten-high rainbow texture is relatively static, but it connects well with a typical flatting range. We don't have a massive range advantage here to justify high-frequency c-betting.
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> **Takeaway:** Out of position on boards that hit the caller's range, use your draws to check-call and protect your checking range.
Note: Checking is preferred to realize equity and protect our range; betting into a range that hits this board well is less efficient.
Turn Analysis
The King is a great card for our range, and following through with a large sizing is the correct way to play our draw as a semi-bluff.
**Ranges:** We have all the sets (44, 55, TT) and now top pairs like AK and KQ that BTN usually 3-bets preflop. This allows us to put massive pressure on BTN's middle pairs and weak Tens.
**Sizing:** Using a large sizing (80% pot) maximizes fold equity against BTN's marginal made hands like 88 or T9. Our 76s is a perfect candidate because we block the straight draws BTN might have (like 87s).
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> **Takeaway:** When the turn brings an overcard that favors your perceived range, use large sizing to pressure the opponent's capped range.
River Analysis
Once the Ace completes the board and the flush draw gets there, we must commit to the bluff. We block the straight (76) and the Ace is the best possible scare card to fold out any remaining Kings or Tens.
**Ranges:** BTN's range is now extremely capped. They would have raised sets or two pairs earlier, so they are mostly arriving here with one-pair hands that hate this runout.
**Math:** With an SPR of 0.6, we are essentially shoving to maximize fold equity. We lose to any diamond flush, but BTN has fewer of those than we do, and they must fold hands like KT or QT facing this final barrel.
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> **Takeaway:** On triple-broadway runouts, follow through with your missed draws when you have the range advantage to fold out better one-pair hands.
Key Concepts
- 6.2
- Villain Slight Advantage
- OOP
- Wet Board
- LEAN TOWARD CHECK