K6s SB on 543r: Defending the Combo Draw
- Hero
- K♥6♥
- Position
- SB vs BB
- Pot
- Single-Raised Pot
- Flop
- 3♠ 4♥ 5♠
We correctly called a flop raise with significant equity, but the board ran out poorly for our specific high-card holding.
Flop Analysis
Checking is the preferred play here. While we have an open-ended straight draw and backdoor flush potential, this low, connected board favors the Big Blind's flatting range.
Note: Betting is a slight inaccuracy; checking allows us to realize our equity more safely on a board that hits the defender's range very well.
Flop Analysis
Calling the raise is mandatory. We have roughly 47% equity against a range that includes many bluffs and semi-bluffs, and the price offered is excellent.
**Math:** We need roughly 27% equity to call based on the pot odds. With an open-ended straight draw and a King-high backdoor flush draw, we are well above that threshold even against strong made hands.
**Ranges:** The Big Blind will raise many draws like 6x or spade draws, as well as value hands like A2 or sets. We block some straights with our 6h, making a call higher EV than folding.
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> **Takeaway:** Never fold a strong combo draw when facing a small raise; you have too much equity to give up the pot.
Turn Analysis
Checking is the only option. The Jack doesn't help our range, and after calling a flop raise, we must play defensively.
**Board:** The Jack of clubs is a relatively blank card that doesn't complete the primary straight or flush draws. It slightly favors the caller's range if they flatted the flop with hands like AJ or KJ.
**Plan:** We are in check-fold mode if Villain bets large, but we can potentially see a river if they check back, hoping to hit our straight.
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> **Takeaway:** When the turn doesn't improve your draw after facing aggression, check to realize your equity as cheaply as possible.
River Analysis
With only King-high and the board pairing, we have no showdown value and no reason to bluff. Checking is the pure play.
**Ranges:** We have plenty of better hands to bluff with that block Villain's calling range. King-high occasionally wins at showdown if Villain was also on a busted spade draw.
**Board:** The pairing of the 3h reduces the likelihood that Villain has a set of threes, but it also means our straight draws officially failed to materialize.
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> **Takeaway:** Don't turn every missed draw into a bluff; some hands are simply too weak to move the needle against a capped range.
Key Concepts
- 5.7
- Neutral Range
- OOP
- Semi-Wet Board
- LEAN TOWARD CHECK