76o BB on 963r: Trips on a Wet River

Hero
7♣6♦
Position
BB vs CO
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
3♠ 6♥ 9♠

We correctly defended preflop and caught trips on the river, but missed a thin value bet when the board paired.

Flop Analysis

Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.

Turn Analysis

Checking is correct. The Ten is a better card for the CO's range, and our middle pair functions best as a check-call candidate to keep their bluffs in.

Turn Analysis

Calling is mandatory here. We are getting excellent pot odds and our hand has significant equity against a range that includes many semi-bluffs. **Math:** Facing a 56% pot bet, we need roughly 26% equity to call. With middle pair and a gutshot to a straight, we have roughly 48% equity against the CO's betting range. **Ranges:** CO will be betting all their top pairs like AT or KT, but they also have many gutshots and flush draws like As7c or Kc7c that we currently beat. --- > **Takeaway:** When you have a piece of the board and a draw, don't fold to a single barrel when the price is this good.

River Analysis

While checking isn't a massive error, betting small is preferred. The river 6s is a fantastic card for us, giving us trips and significantly shifting the range advantage in our favor. **Ranges:** We have a massive value advantage here because we defend many more 6x combos than the CO raises preflop. While the spade completes the flush, we still beat all of Villain's two-pair hands like AT, KT, and 98. **Sizing:** A small bet of roughly 33% pot (3.6BB) is ideal. It targets Villain's stubborn one-pair and two-pair hands that might check back if we check, but will feel priced in to call a small lead. --- > **Takeaway:** When the board pairs your middle pair on the river, you often take the lead in range strength and should look for thin value.

Note: Checking misses a high-frequency value bet; with trips, we should lead small to extract value from Villain's two-pair and top-pair holdings.

Key Concepts

  • 7.4
  • Villain Strong Advantage
  • OOP
  • Semi-Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK