Flop Analysis
Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.
We successfully extracted value with a disguised set, though checking the turn and betting small on the river missed opportunities to maximize the pot.
Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.
Checking back here is a significant missed opportunity. We have improved to bottom set (trips) and need to start building the pot immediately on a board with multiple draws. **Ranges:** We have a massive equity advantage (93%) against the SB's range, which is heavy on one-pair hands like Kd4d or QdJc. By checking, we allow draws like JdTh to see a free river and miss a street of value from Kx and Qx. **Sizing:** The solver strongly prefers a large bet (80% pot) or an overbet. This sizing targets the top of SB's calling range and sets up a comfortable river shove given the 4.2 SPR. **Plan:** When we hit a set on a semi-wet board, our goal is to play for stacks. Checking back makes it much harder to get the full 60BB effective stack in by the river. --- > **Takeaway:** When you turn a monster hand on a draw-heavy board, bet large to build the pot and charge the draws.
Note: Checking back with a set is too passive; you should bet large to extract value from Kx, Qx, and various straight and flush draws.
While betting is correct, the small sizing is a mistake. We have the effective nuts against most of SB's range and should be polarizing our sizing to maximize value. **Ranges:** SB's range is condensed around bluff-catchers like Q-high and mid-pocket pairs. Since we checked the turn, our range looks capped, which might actually induce more hero calls if we bet large or overbet. **Sizing:** A 33% pot bet is too thin. The solver prefers an overbet (125% pot) to maximize EV. Small bets allow Villain to call with their entire range, but we lose massive value when they would have called a larger bet with a King or Queen. **Math:** We have 97% equity. In these high-equity spots, we want to maximize the pot size. Betting 4.2BB into 12.8BB leaves too much money on the table. --- > **Takeaway:** On the river with a premium hand, use large sizing to polarize your range and maximize value from sticky opponents.
Note: Small sizing on the river misses significant value; with trips, you should use a large or overbet sizing to target Villain's top-pair and second-pair holdings.