Flop Analysis
Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.
Defending J7o is standard at this depth, but we must fold bottom pair when facing a massive overbet on a board that favors the raiser.
Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.
Folding is the correct play against this sizing. While we have bottom pair, the Button's 1.3x pot overbet is extremely polarizing and targets our marginal bluff-catchers. **Ranges:** The Button's range is heavily weighted toward strong top pairs like AK or KQ and overpairs, while their bluffs consist of gutshots like JT or T9. Our bottom pair has over 50% equity against their total range, but we cannot realize that equity efficiently out of position against such a large bet. **Math:** We are facing a massive overbet and need 36% equity to call. While we technically have the raw equity, the shallow SPR and our lack of draws make this a high-variance, low-EV continue that solver prefers to ditch 82% of the time. **Sizing:** The 129% pot bet from the Button is designed to maximize pressure on our 'middle of the range' hands like 8x and 7x. By calling, we put ourselves in a miserable spot on almost any turn card. --- > **Takeaway:** Don't be a hero with bottom pair when facing an overbet on a board that favors the preflop aggressor.
Note: Calling a 1.3x pot overbet with bottom pair and a weak kicker is a significant error; the hand is too weak to withstand this much pressure out of position.
Checking is the preferred play to protect our range. The second King is a great card for us as it reduces the number of trips in the Button's range.
Calling is the standard GTO play here, but raising all-in is a viable high-variance alternative given the extremely shallow SPR. **Math:** With an SPR of 0.11, we are effectively committed to the pot. We need roughly 31% equity to call, and our two pair (7s and Ks) holds about 50% equity against the Button's polarized betting range. **Blockers:** Our Jd is a relevant blocker, slightly reducing the combinations of straight draws like JT that the Button might be turning into bluffs. However, we also block some of the hands we want them to be bluffing with. **Plan:** By raising all-in, we deny equity to the Button's remaining bluffs and overcards. While calling is higher EV because it keeps their bluffs in, the difference is marginal at this stack depth. --- > **Takeaway:** When the SPR is this low, your primary goal is to realize your equity; calling is usually best to keep bluffs in, but shoving is rarely a disaster.