Flop Analysis
Betting small is the preferred play. After BB checks, they are often capped at high cards or marginal pairs, allowing us to thin value-bet our overpair while denying equity to hands like AQ or KQ. **Ranges:** We hold a significant value advantage here with sets (77, 66) and overpairs (JJ-AA) that BB would often 3-bet preflop. BB's range is heavily weighted toward two overcards like AK or AQ, which must fold or call under pressure on this low texture. **Sizing:** A small sizing of 33% pot (around 7BB) is ideal on this semi-wet board. It forces BB's high-card hands into a difficult spot where they have to decide if their 6-out overcards are worth continuing, while keeping the pot manageable if they check-raise with a set or straight. **Plan:** On most turns, we can continue for value, but we must be cautious on 4, 5, or 8 runouts that complete straights for BB's 54s or 98s combos. --- > **Takeaway:** On low, connected boards in 3-bet pots, bet small with your overpairs to extract value from overcards and protect against draws.