77 HJ on J95r: Small River Protection

Hero
7♥7♠
Position
HJ vs BTN
Pot
3-Bet Pot
Flop
5♠ 9♥ J♠

After the turn goes check-check, we should lead the river small to protect our hand and extract value from missed draws.

Flop Analysis

Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.

Flop Analysis

A standard bluff-catch against a half-pot continuation bet. We have enough equity with our pair and backdoor potential to continue.

Turn Analysis

Checking is the only play. The 3d is a blank, and we need to reach showdown cheaply with our vulnerable middle pair.

River Analysis

We should lead for a small sizing here rather than checking. After Villain checks back the turn, their range is capped and contains many missed draws that we beat but that won't bet themselves. **Ranges:** Villain's turn check-back heavily weights them toward high cards like KQ or missed spade draws. By betting small, we target these hands and A-high, which might feel forced to call a 35% pot bet. **Sizing:** A small bet of 11.6BB (35% pot) is ideal. It functions as a thin value bet and protection, denying Villain the chance to realize equity for free while keeping the price low enough to get looked up by their air. **Plan:** If we bet and get raised, it is an easy fold as Villain's range is extremely value-heavy when they show aggression on this straight-completing river. --- > **Takeaway:** When the aggressor checks back a dynamic turn, look to lead small on blank rivers to extract value from their capped air range.

Note: Checking misses a high-frequency small value/protection bet; leading for ~35% pot extracts value from missed draws and A-high.

Key Concepts

  • Protection Priority
  • Hero Slight Advantage
  • OOP
  • Semi-Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK