A5s UTG on J44r: C-Bet Sizing and Fold Equity

Hero
A♦5♦
Position
UTG vs CO
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
4♦ 4♥ J♠

We should use a smaller c-bet sizing on paired boards to preserve our stack, but folding to the raise is the correct disciplined play.

Flop Analysis

Betting is a strong option here to leverage our range advantage, though our sizing is slightly larger than necessary for a paired board.

Note: Sizing is too large; on dry, paired boards at 20BB, a small 25-33% pot bet achieves the same fold equity while risking less.

Flop Analysis

Folding is the correct play once we face the raise. We have very little equity against a range that is now heavily weighted toward Jx and trips.

Key Concepts

  • 3.3
  • Neutral Range
  • OOP
  • Dry Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK