Flop Analysis
C-betting is mandatory here, but we should use the small size more consistently; our 35% pot bet is fine but slightly larger than needed in a very favorable spot.
Deep 4-bet pot, our big miss is not jamming the turn with AA after checking and facing the tiny stab — we should get stacks in instead of just calling.
C-betting is mandatory here, but we should use the small size more consistently; our 35% pot bet is fine but slightly larger than needed in a very favorable spot.
Checking turn is completely reasonable as part of a mixed strategy; with AA the solver is indifferent between betting small and checking, so the important part is having a clear plan versus bets.
Once we check and face the tiny turn stab with this SPR, the correct play is to non-all-in jam over it rather than just call — AA is too strong to treat as a bluff-catcher here. **Ranges:** BU’s 3-bet-call range in a 4-bet pot is packed with QQ–JJ like QcQd/QcQs/QdQs, some Kx such as AhKs/KsQs, and a few AcXc bluffs (AcQc/AcTc/AcJc); AA is near the very top of our non-Kx range and well ahead of all non-K holdings. **Math:** Facing a 25% pot bet we’re getting 5:1 immediate; with an SPR just over 1, jamming realizes our equity fully and extracts from QQ–JJ while denying free realization to hands like AsQs/AdQd and AcQc. **Plan:** By shoving now we avoid awkward river guessing, get called by worse overpairs that hate folding in 4-bet pots, and prevent BU from checking back rivers when the board runs out safely for them. --- > **Takeaway:** In low-SPR 4-bet pots, don’t just call tiny turn stabs with AA on static boards — shove and stack their overpairs.
Note: Calling instead of jamming over the small turn bet with AA misses value versus QQ–JJ and lets villain realize equity and potentially play perfectly on rivers.
Checking river is standard; ranges are condensed, villain has the nut advantage with Kx and some full houses, and we don’t have a clear thinner value target after taking the check-call turn line.