Flop Analysis
Raising here is a massive overplay with zero equity. We have no draws and no showdown value, and the Small Blind's range is heavily weighted toward Ax and pocket pairs that will not fold to a single raise. **Ranges:** SB has a massive range advantage (57% equity) with many more Ax combos like AQo and AJs. Our range contains some 6x, but T9o is the absolute bottom of our range and functions poorly as a bluff since we block nothing SB is folding. **Board:** This texture is extremely static. On A-6-6 rainbow, SB will rarely fold any pair to a small raise, and since we have no backdoor equity, we are essentially lighting money on fire by trying to force a fold. **Math:** While the pot odds to call are excellent (4.3:1), T9o lacks the equity realization needed to continue. However, folding is significantly better than raising, which loses EV immediately against a range that is 33% 'Value' hands. --- > **Takeaway:** Avoid bluffing the absolute bottom of your range on dry, paired boards where the aggressor has a significant range advantage.
Note: Raising with T9o here is a pure mistake; it has 0% frequency in a GTO strategy. You are bluffing with zero equity on a board that favors the preflop raiser's range.