Flop Analysis
Folding an overpair here is a disciplined and correct response to an unusual and extremely strong line from the SB. **Ranges:** A 1.6x pot jam on this dry, 9-high board is almost never a bluff like AK. It is a 'protection' bet from JJ, QQ, KK, or AA that doesn't want to navigate overcards on the turn. **Math:** We need 38% equity to call. Against a range of JJ-AA, our TT has roughly 12% equity. Even if we give SB some frustrated AK bluffs, we still fail to meet the mathematical threshold for a profitable call. **Board:** The 9-6-2 rainbow texture is safe for SB's entire 3-betting range. Since we called preflop, we rarely have 99, 66, or 22, meaning SB has a massive nut advantage and can use this sizing to polarize effectively. --- > **Takeaway:** Do not feel obligated to call with overpairs when the opponent's sizing and line clearly represent a range that has you crushed.