JTs SB on Q97r: Aggression with Combo Draws

Hero
J♦T♦
Position
SB vs UTG
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
7♦ 9♥ Q♠

We played a powerful combo draw aggressively but were forced to fold when the river only improved us to a vulnerable second pair.

Flop Analysis

Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.

Flop Analysis

Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.

Turn Analysis

The 2d is a fantastic card for us, adding a flush draw to our straight draw. We should continue our aggression with this powerful semi-bluff. **Ranges:** We have a significant nut advantage with more sets (99, 77) than UTG, who would often 4-bet those preflop or raise the flop. **Sizing:** While solver prefers a larger overbet to maximize pressure on Qx, the 66% sizing is a strong mixed strategy that keeps the SPR manageable if we miss. **Plan:** On river bricks, we will often have to give up, but any King, Eight, or Diamond gives us a massive range advantage to shove. --- > **Takeaway:** When your draw picks up more outs on the turn, maintain aggression to capitalize on your increased equity and fold equity.

River Analysis

The Ts is a bittersweet card. It gives us second pair, but it also completes several straights (KJ, J8) and improves UTG's range.

River Analysis

Folding is a disciplined and correct play. While we have a pair, our hand is now a pure bluff-catcher that loses to almost all of UTG's value range. **Ranges:** UTG's calling range on the flop and turn is very strong, consisting of Qx, overpairs (KK, AA), and now straights like KJ or 8J. **Math:** We need 28% equity to call. Given we block some of UTG's straight bluffs (like J8s) and lose to all value, our 9% equity vs their range makes this a clear fold. **Blockers:** Holding a Jack is actually detrimental here as it blocks the missed straight draws (like J8) that UTG might have turned into a bluff. --- > **Takeaway:** Don't feel married to a hand just because you improved; if the board completes multiple draws for the opponent, second pair is rarely good enough to call a large bet.

Key Concepts

  • Multi-Street Play
  • Neutral Range
  • OOP
  • Dry Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK