QQ SB on 973r: Thin Value and Blockers

Hero
Q♦Q♥
Position
SB vs UTG
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
3♦ 7♥ 9♠

When the aggressor checks back a safe turn, we must lead the river for value with our overpair to target their capped bluff-catchers.

Flop Analysis

Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.

Flop Analysis

Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.

Turn Analysis

Auto-played to reach this drill spot — you didn't act here, so it isn't scored.

River Analysis

Leading the river is correct after UTG checks back the turn, though a smaller sizing is preferred to maximize calls from their capped range. **Ranges:** UTG's turn check-back caps them significantly, often excluding sets like 99 or 77. They arrive here with many high-card hands like AK/AQ and marginal pairs like TT-JJ or A9s. **Sizing:** The 8.7BB bet (75% pot) is slightly too large; solver prefers a 3.8BB (33% pot) block bet. This smaller size induces more calls from hands like 88 or A9 that might fold to a larger sizing. **Blockers:** Our QdQh is excellent as it doesn't block the straight draws that missed (like JT or T8) which UTG might occasionally turn into a bluff if we checked. --- > **Takeaway:** When the preflop aggressor checks back a neutral turn, lead the river small to extract value from their marginal bluff-catchers.

Key Concepts

  • Multi-Street Play
  • Hero Slight Advantage
  • OOP
  • Dry Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK