A3s BTN on J42r: Barrel The Nut Draw

Hero
A♠3♠
Position
BTN vs HJ
Pot
3-Bet Pot
Flop
2♥ 4♠ J♠

We should continue our aggression on the turn with a nut flush draw and gutshot to maximize fold equity against Villain's condensed range.

Flop Analysis

Betting is preferred with our combo draw. We have the nut flush draw and a gutshot, giving us excellent equity and the ability to barrel many turns.

Turn Analysis

Checking back is a significant miss. We have a massive equity draw and the 2c is a blank that doesn't help the HJ's condensed range of pocket pairs.

Note: Checking back loses the opportunity to fold out Villain's middle pairs (88-TT) and realize our fold equity with a high-equity semi-bluff.

River Analysis

Once we check back the turn and improve to top pair, checking back the river is standard. We have showdown value but won't get called by much worse.

Key Concepts

  • 5.6
  • Villain Slight Advantage
  • IP
  • Semi-Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD AGGRESSION