Flop Analysis
A7s is a high-frequency c-bet candidate here. We have top pair and the nut backdoor flush draw, but our weak kicker makes this a marginal hand that prefers a small sizing to keep SB's range wide.
While checking the turn is preferred to control the pot, we must bet the river for thin value against a capped range.
A7s is a high-frequency c-bet candidate here. We have top pair and the nut backdoor flush draw, but our weak kicker makes this a marginal hand that prefers a small sizing to keep SB's range wide.
Checking is the mandatory play here. The Jack is a 'swing' card that connects well with SB's flop-calling range, including hands like AJ, J8s, and 66.
Note: Betting the turn is too thin; it isolates us against better Ax and sets while folding out the bluffs we want SB to keep in.
This is a clear value-betting spot that we missed. After SB checks three times on a brick runout, their range is extremely capped and contains many hands that will call a small bet.
Note: Checking back the river misses a high-frequency thin value bet against a capped range of weak Ax and missed draws.