A7s UTG on 542r: Overbetting the Gutshot
- Hero
- A♣7♣
- Position
- UTG vs BB
- Pot
- Single-Raised Pot
- Flop
- 2♦ 4♥ 5♠
While we have a gutshot, our specific combo is a prime overbet candidate on the turn to pressure the BB's condensed range.
Flop Analysis
Sizing up to an overbet is an aggressive deviation; while we have a range advantage, our specific hand prefers checking or a small sizing to keep the pot manageable with just a gutshot.
Note: Overbetting here is unnecessary; a small sizing or check better suits our hand's equity and the board texture.
Turn Analysis
Checking is fine, but this is a premier spot to overbet. We have the nut-straight blocker (A) and a gutshot, allowing us to polarize and fold out BB's weak pairs.
River Analysis
Once we check the turn and the board pairs, we have zero showdown value and must check-fold. Our hand has 0.4% equity against the range that reached this river.
Key Concepts
- Multi-Street Play
- Hero Strong Advantage
- IP
- Wet Board
- LEAN TOWARD CHECK