Flop Analysis
After SB checks, we have a clear value bet with top pair. While checking back is a valid mix to protect our range, betting for half-pot or less effectively sets up a river shove given the shallow SPR. **Ranges:** SB's check is often a surrender or a trap with sets (JJ, 55). We beat their middle pocket pairs (TT, 99) and Ace-high floats (Ad9c) that may feel forced to continue. **Math:** With an SPR of 0.71, we are mathematically committed. Any bet we make here is essentially a commitment to call a shove or shove ourselves on most turns. **Sizing:** Our 12.5BB bet (50% pot) is perfectly fine. It puts maximum pressure on Jx and spade draws while leaving enough behind to fold if the board gets incredibly dangerous, though folding is rarely an option here. --- > **Takeaway:** In 3-bet pots with a low SPR, top pair is effectively the nuts; bet to get the money in before scary cards roll off.