Flop Analysis
Betting is the preferred play here to capitalize on a massive equity advantage (62%) and our open-ended straight draw. While we bet small, mixing in larger sizes is equally viable to pressure the BB's marginal pairs.
Use your range advantage to pressure the Big Blind with semi-bluffs, but prefer larger sizing to maximize fold equity on dry boards.
Betting is the preferred play here to capitalize on a massive equity advantage (62%) and our open-ended straight draw. While we bet small, mixing in larger sizes is equally viable to pressure the BB's marginal pairs.
Continuing the aggression on this brick turn is correct, but our sizing is too small to maximize the pressure on the BB's condensed range of 7x and Tx hands. **Ranges:** We hold a significant nut advantage with more Kx and sets (TT, 77) than the BB, who mostly has bluff-catchers after calling the flop. **Sizing:** Solver heavily prefers overbetting (125% pot) or large sizing (80% pot) here. A small 50% pot bet allows BB to realize equity too easily with weak pairs and gutshots. **Plan:** By using a larger size, we set up a river shove on most cards, maximizing fold equity with our straight draw while getting maximum value when we hold Kx. --- > **Takeaway:** On dry turns where you hold a nut advantage, use large sizing to polarize your range and force folds from marginal hands.
Note: Sizing is too small; larger bets (80%+) better leverage our nut advantage and maximize fold equity for our semi-bluff.