QTo BB on A76r: Flush Over-Betting Strategy

Hero
Q♠T♣
Position
BB vs SB
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
6♠ 7♠ A♥

We correctly realized our equity with a flush draw and extracted maximum value on the river, though our turn sizing and river over-shove were slightly non-standard.

Flop Analysis

Checking back is the standard play here. While we have a backdoor flush draw and two overcards, we lack the immediate equity to lead into the preflop aggressor on an Ace-high texture.

Turn Analysis

After SB checks twice, stabbing with our newly turned flush draw is a high-frequency play to take down the pot or build it for when we hit.

Turn Analysis

We must call the check-raise. We are getting excellent pot odds and have significant equity to improve to a flush or potentially a winning pair.

River Analysis

We hit our flush and SB checks. While betting is mandatory, the massive over-shove is an extreme deviation from the preferred medium-sizing strategy.

Note: The 3.6x pot shove is unnecessarily large; a medium sizing (60-75% pot) is preferred to ensure we get called by worse flushes and Ax.

Key Concepts

  • Multi-Street Play
  • Villain Slight Advantage
  • IP
  • Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK