We took the aggressive line with a strong drawing hand and leveraged fold equity well; only small refinements in 4‑bet sizing and turn barrel strategy are worth tweaking.
Flop Analysis
Small c-bet is exactly what we want here: we have a big range advantage and a strong semi-bluff with both an OESD and backdoor nut flush draw, so betting small leverages our fold equity efficiently.
**Ranges:** As the 4-bettor, our range is dense in overpairs and strong Kx/Jx, while BB’s flat contains more underpairs and suited broadways; our specific hand sits in the semi-bluff tier with excellent equity and blockers.
**Board:** Paired, semi-wet, K-high and two-tone favors us heavily — our overpairs and Kx crush BB’s range, and our draw has robust equity even when behind made hands.
**Sizing:** At SPR ~1.5 we want to use a small, range bet; 25% pot keeps our range uncapped, folds out air, and sets up clean turn shove trees with both value and draws.
---
> **Takeaway:** In 4-bet pots at low SPR on favorable paired boards, use a small c-bet with both value and strong draws to cheapen your bluffing while still applying maximum pressure.
Turn Analysis
Jamming turn with our OESD is within a solid mixed strategy here — we still have decent equity when called and apply maximum pressure at an SPR under 1, though checking has similar EV and better protects our range.
**Ranges:** Our range is value-heavy after 4-bet–c-bet, so shoving keeps pressure on BB’s capped bluff-catchers (QQ, some Kx) while our actual hand functions as a semi-bluff sitting near the lower-middle of our continuing range.
**Math:** We risk 62.7BB to win 75.1BB, so a pure bluff needs ~45% fold equity; with ~31% equity versus the continuing range, we can profit with significantly fewer folds than that, making the shove structurally sound.
**Plan:** Solver leans to a mixed plan (check and shove) because our range is already strong and we don’t need to over-bluff; versus tough NL200 regs, mixing more checks here avoids having our turn bluffs over-represented once they call flop.
---
> **Takeaway:** At very low SPR, shoving turn with strong draws is fine, but versus good players mix in checks so your range isn’t overly weighted toward bluffs when the money goes in.