J9s LJ on 642r: Give Up on Bricks

Hero
J♦9♦
Position
LJ vs BB
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
2♦ 4♥ 6♠

When our semi-bluff opportunities dry up on the turn and river, we should check back and fold to aggression rather than forcing a bluff.

Flop Analysis

Checking is a perfectly fine mix here. While we have a range advantage on this low board, J9d functions well as a check-back to realize its backdoor equity.

Turn Analysis

Checking back is the standard play once we miss the turn. We have no direct draw, and firing into a range that contains many 6x and Tx pairs is low EV.

Note: While checking is fine, solver actually prefers a semi-bluff here to leverage our range advantage before the river.

River Analysis

Easy fold. We have zero showdown value and the Kd is a better card for our range than the BB's, making their lead look quite strong.

Key Concepts

  • 4.0
  • Hero Strong Advantage
  • IP
  • Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD AGGRESSION