Flop Analysis
Small sizing is preferred on this paired, dry texture. We hold a strong range advantage with more Kings and Aces than the SB caller.
Folding two pair on a paired board to a single raise is an over-fold; we must continue against a range that includes many bluffs.
Small sizing is preferred on this paired, dry texture. We hold a strong range advantage with more Kings and Aces than the SB caller.
Folding here is a significant mistake. While the SB raise looks strong, our hand is too high in our range to fold immediately to one raise. **Ranges:** SB has all the Kx, but they also have many straight draws (QJ, J9s) and airballs that must raise to deny equity. By folding T9, we allow SB to profitably raise any two cards against our c-bet. **Math:** We need 33% equity to call. Against a range of Kx, QJ, and some random bluffs, T9o retains enough equity to continue, especially since we block some J9/T9 combinations. **Plan:** We should call and evaluate the turn. If the turn is a brick and SB continues with a large sizing, we can reconsider, but folding the flop is over-reacting to aggression. --- > **Takeaway:** Don't over-fold second pair on paired boards; you need to keep Villain's bluffs in the pot and protect your range.
Note: Folding two pair here is too tight; we must call to prevent Villain from over-bluffing this texture.