KJo SB on AQQr: Bluffing the Triple Pair

Hero
K♣J♥
Position
SB vs BB
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
Q♦ Q♥ A♠

While our turn sizing was overly aggressive, the river triple-paired board is a perfect spot to jam and force folds from weak Ace-high.

Flop Analysis

This paired, Ace-high board heavily favors our range as the preflop aggressor. We should bet frequently using a small sizing to keep the BB's range wide and vulnerable.

Turn Analysis

Checking is the preferred play here to realize our equity. Our large bet sizing is a mistake as it bloats the pot and forces us into a difficult river spot if called.

Note: Betting large on the turn is over-aggressive; checking allows us to realize our straight draw equity and protects our range.

River Analysis

The river is an incredible card for us. The third Queen means any Ace is now just a bluff-catcher, and we can credibly represent the case Queen or a full house.

Key Concepts

  • 4.2
  • Hero Slight Advantage
  • OOP
  • Dry Board
  • LEAN TOWARD AGGRESSION