Flop Analysis
Betting small is the preferred strategy here. We hold a slight range advantage and use a 30% sizing to pressure CO's mid-pairs and high-card floats while protecting our equity.
We use our range advantage to fire a small continuation bet, but we must fold our air when the opponent raises on a connected board.
Betting small is the preferred strategy here. We hold a slight range advantage and use a 30% sizing to pressure CO's mid-pairs and high-card floats while protecting our equity.
Folding is the only viable play once raised. Our hand is pure air with no draws, and we are significantly behind CO's value range of sets and two-pairs. **Ranges:** CO's raise represents a polarized range of strong value (77, 87s, K8s) and semi-bluffs like T9s or JTs. We have zero equity against the value and are flipping at best against the draws. **Math:** We need 33% equity to call, but our high card has roughly 31% against a range that includes many bluffs. Since we are out of position and have no guaranteed way to realize our equity on the turn, folding is the highest EV move. --- > **Takeaway:** Don't fall in love with your C-bets; when you have no draw and face a raise on a connected board, let it go.