Flop Analysis
Checking back is a solid play on this wet board. Our 99 functions as a marginal made hand that needs protection but isn't strong enough to value bet three streets.
While we have a flush on a four-spade board, the river raise on a paired board makes our 9-high flush a precarious bluff-catcher.
Checking back is a solid play on this wet board. Our 99 functions as a marginal made hand that needs protection but isn't strong enough to value bet three streets.
Checking is slightly preferred, but betting small is a viable mix. We've picked up a flush draw and a gutshot, giving us massive equity to semi-bluff.
We should use a larger sizing here. On a four-flush board where we hold the 9s, we have a strong value hand that needs to charge worse flushes or trips.
Note: Sizing is too small; with a flush on a 4-spade board, we should bet larger (55-80% pot) to maximize value and polarize our range.
Folding is a very tight deviation. While the paired board and 4-flush are scary, we have a flush and are getting 2.3:1 odds to call against a potentially polarized raise.
Note: Folding a flush getting good odds is generally an over-fold, even on a paired board, as we only need ~30% equity to continue.