Flop Analysis
Checking is the pure play here. This board favors the caller's range which contains many more mid-pairs and suited connectors that connected with the 6 and 8.
While we correctly checked our air through the streets, calling a river bet with King-high on a board where flushes and straights completed is a significant error.
Checking is the pure play here. This board favors the caller's range which contains many more mid-pairs and suited connectors that connected with the 6 and 8.
The board pairing the 8 is generally better for the BTN's range, as they have more 8x than we do after we check the flop. We continue to check our air.
Checking is mandatory. The river 4s completes the spade flush and a possible straight (57), leaving our King-high with zero showdown value.
Calling here is a massive mistake. Even though the price is attractive, King-high is almost never good when the BTN chooses to bet into a board that has become quite wet. **Ranges:** BTN has all the flushes (JsTs, Ts9s) and 8x that checked back twice. While they have some bluffs like missed straight draws (79), those hands often have a pair of 6s or 4s which still beat us. **Math:** We are getting 4:1, meaning we need to be right 20% of the time. However, our hand has 12.7% equity; we simply don't beat enough of their 'air' range to justify the call. **Blockers:** We hold the Qc and Kd, which are irrelevant cards. We don't block any of the made flushes or straights, making this an even easier fold. --- > **Takeaway:** Don't let good pot odds trick you into calling with the bottom of your range when you lose to your opponent's bluffs.
Note: Calling with King-high here is a losing play; we lose to almost all of Villain's value and many of their bluffs.