Flop Analysis
Checking our entire range is standard on this monotone board. Even with top pair, we are out of position and must protect our checking range against the HJ's range advantage.
Defend your top pair on monotone flops and go for thin value when you improve to trips on the river.
Checking our entire range is standard on this monotone board. Even with top pair, we are out of position and must protect our checking range against the HJ's range advantage.
Calling the small c-bet is the only play. We have top pair and a backdoor diamond draw, which is more than enough equity to continue against a 1/3 pot sizing.
Checking is correct after the turn bricks. We don't want to lead into the HJ's uncapped range, and checking allows them to continue bluffing with their spade draws.
Once the HJ checks back the turn and we improve to trips, we must bet for value. While the solver prefers a smaller 33% sizing to get called by worse pairs, our larger sizing is a reasonable exploit if we believe HJ will over-call with Ax or pocket pairs.