TT UTG on J63fd: Stick To The Plan
- Hero
- T♥T♠
- Position
- UTG vs SB
- Pot
- Squeeze Pot (Opener)
- Flop
- J♠ 6♦ 3♦
We played TT very solidly in this 3‑bet pot; solver likes all our postflop decisions, with only some room to tighten up river calls versus underbluffy NL200 pools.
Flop Analysis
Calling the small c‑bet with second pair as a bluff‑catcher is exactly what we want — we’re high enough in our range and getting too good a price to fold.
**Ranges:** SB’s 3‑bet range is value‑heavy (overpairs, strong Jx, some sets) plus A‑high and broadway‑diamond bluffs; our second pair sits near the bottom of the continuing region but still well above pure give‑ups. Raising just isolates us against stronger value and strong draws while folding out the hands we actually beat.
**Math:** We’re getting 5:1, needing only ~16.7% equity, while this hand has ~47–48% versus villain’s betting range, so folding would be a huge overfold for our range.
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> **Takeaway:** In 3‑bet pots facing small c‑bets, second‑pair bluff‑catchers with great pot odds are near‑mandatory calls, not thin folds.
Turn Analysis
After the third diamond and added straight potential, checking back our medium pair with shallow SPR is the preferred line — we protect our range while keeping the pot under control.
**Board:** The 7♦ makes the board much wetter, increasing the density of strong draws and made very strong hands in SB’s range; our second pair plays more like a medium‑strength bluff‑catcher than a value hand now.
**Ranges:** We actually hold a strong overall equity and value advantage, but this specific combo is mid‑strength — betting would mostly get called or raised by better (Jx, very strong draws) while pushing out weaker pairs that we’re happy to keep in.
**Plan:** By checking, we keep SB’s range wide and retain a clear river plan: call reasonable bets on many safe rivers and fold to big, polarizing action on the very worst ones.
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> **Takeaway:** When the turn heavily increases nutted and draw density, let medium pairs check back and let position and range advantage do the work.
River Analysis
Calling the river bet with second pair is GTO‑consistent given our range strength and pot odds, although vs typical NL200 tendencies we can justify folding more often.
**Ranges:** By the river, SB’s betting range is polarized on a highly connected, three‑diamond runout — strong Jx, overpairs, completed straights and flushes, plus missed or low‑equity bluffs; our second pair sits in the upper‑mid of our range and is a natural bluff‑catcher, especially after we under‑repped by checking turn.
**Math:** Facing 31.6BB into 78.8BB we’re getting ~2.5:1 and need only ~28.5% equity; solver has this combo calling almost 90% of the time and shoving rarely, so folding here would over‑fold the range quite significantly.
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> **Takeaway:** Versus a polarized river stab at good odds, second‑pair bluff‑catchers that sit high in our range should usually call — but pool under‑bluffing can justify tighter folds in practice.
Key Concepts
- Protection Priority
- Neutral Range
- IP
- Semi-Wet Board
- POT CONTROL