Flop Analysis
C‑betting our overpair multiway is good; sizing around half‑pot is reasonable, though going a bit bigger is attractive on this dynamic, straight‑draw‑heavy texture with a clear range and nut advantage.
Preflop and flop are fine; once the king peels and checks through, our queens become a bluff‑catcher, not a hand to pot‑jam on the river.
C‑betting our overpair multiway is good; sizing around half‑pot is reasonable, though going a bit bigger is attractive on this dynamic, straight‑draw‑heavy texture with a clear range and nut advantage.
Once the king hits, our hand shifts from overpair to second pair with an open‑ender; checking with an SPR ≈ 1 and three‑way is fine because value‑jamming now runs straight into lots of Kx, two pair and sets that happily stack off.
River shove is the big leak; after the king turns and checks through, our queens are a bluff‑catcher, and jamming into two players with an SPR < 1 mostly gets called by better and folds out exactly the hands we beat. **Ranges:** Limp‑call ranges that call flop and turn‑check include many Kx (KJ, KT, KQ), two pair and sets, plus some Jx/TX; those strong hands are the ones that continue versus a pot‑sized shove, while weaker pairs and floats just fold. **Board:** The king dramatically shifted the board texture away from our overpair; by river nothing improves us, but top‑pair/ two‑pair/straights are all very live in their range while draws like Q9 and clubs missed and become natural bluff candidates for them. **SPR:** With ~1x pot behind, our river decision is essentially for stacks; using that stack to bluff‑jam a medium‑strength pair multiway is poor risk‑reward compared to checking and bluff‑catching vs normal sizing. --- > **Takeaway:** When a bad turn card downgrades a strong hand into a bluff‑catcher, lean toward checking river and bluff‑catching against reasonable bets, not pot‑jamming into uncapped ranges.
Note: River jam turns a medium‑strength bluff‑catcher into an overplayed shove that gets snapped by better and rarely gets called by worse.