Flop Analysis
Standard check to the 3-bettor. On this texture, we don't have a leading range.
We executed a perfect bluff-catching line, calling down on safe streets but correctly folding when the river improved the aggressor's range.
Standard check to the 3-bettor. On this texture, we don't have a leading range.
We have an easy call against the small continuation bet. Our hand is well ahead of their bluffs and draws while only losing to Jacks or better. **Ranges:** The Button's 1/3 pot sizing is wide, including many high-card hands (AQ, KQ) and flush draws (AcKc). We must defend our pocket pairs to prevent them from over-bluffing. **Math:** Getting nearly 4:1 on a call, we only need about 20% equity. Our TT has roughly 50% equity against their betting range, making this a high-EV continue. --- > **Takeaway:** Don't over-fold pocket pairs that sit between the top and middle board cards against small 3-bet pot c-bets.
The 3h is a total brick. We continue checking to let the Button decide whether to barrel their air or check back for showdown.
We must stick to the plan and call again. The board hasn't changed, and the Button still has plenty of semi-bluffs in their range. **Ranges:** Button is polarizing here. They have value (JJ+, AJ) but also many draws like AcQc or KcQc. Since we don't block the club draw, we are a prime candidate to bluff-catch. **Sizing:** The 60% pot bet is standard for a polarized range. By calling, we keep the pot manageable while forcing them to have it on the river. --- > **Takeaway:** On brick turns, medium-strength hands should generally continue bluff-catching to protect the range.
The King is a poor card for us, as it hits the Button's 3-betting range hard. We check and prepare to evaluate a final bet.
A disciplined and correct fold. The King connects with the Button's AK and KQ, which were previously bluffs we were beating. **Ranges:** The Button's range is now very strong. They have all the sets, overpairs, and now top pair with AK/KQ. Most of their natural bluffs (like AcQc) may give up here, and we lose to almost their entire value range. **Blockers:** We don't block any of the missed draws, but the sheer number of value hands that just improved makes a call unprofitable. Our TT is now just a weak third pair. --- > **Takeaway:** When the river card significantly improves the aggressor's perceived range, be willing to let go of your former bluff-catchers.