Flop Analysis
Flop Th‑4h‑4s, we flop top pair + kicker on a paired, semi‑wet board with no flush possible. MP bets, then CO jams 27BB. We’re getting about 1.6:1 and need roughly 38% equity, but versus a tight, value‑heavy range we’re often behind and don’t realize equity well. Calling is -EV; folding is the disciplined, higher‑EV choice.