AKs CO on K92r: AKs: Raise, Then Manage SPR
- Hero
- A♥K♥
- Position
- CO vs BB
- Pot
- 3-Bet Pot
- Flop
- K♦ 9♣ 2♠
Open AKs, mostly 4-bet vs BB’s 3-bet, then play postflop with a mix of calls and raises, and comfortably call the river shove with top pair.
Flop Analysis
Flop Kd9c2s, we have top pair top kicker on a dry board with SPR ~2.8. Facing a small c-bet, calling is preferred, with some large raise mixing. Solver likes calling around 95% and raising only a small amount, so the flop raise is a bit too big.
Note: Raising the flop is a bit too ambitious; solver prefers mostly calling with top pair top kicker on this dry texture, with only a small amount of large raises.
Turn Analysis
Turn 7h, SPR ≈1, BB checks; with top pair and no draw, checking back is fine and keeps the pot manageable. Solver has a close mix between betting and checking here, so checking is a reasonable, low-variance option.
River Analysis
River 4d, BB shoves 64bb into ~133.5bb, giving us about 2.1:1 and needing ~32% equity. AK is still ahead of a lot of bluffs and worse pairs, so calling is standard.
Key Concepts
- Protection Priority
- Villain Slight Advantage
- IP
- Dry Board
- 3.7:1 NEED:21.3%