AKs CO on K92r: Top Pair, Top Kicker

Hero
A♥K♥
Position
CO vs BB
Pot
3-Bet Pot
Flop
K♠ 9♦ 2♣

AKs should 4-bet pre, mostly call the flop donk, bet turn for value, and comfortably call the river shove with top pair top kicker.

Flop Analysis

Flop K92 rainbow, we have top pair top kicker with strong kicker blockers. Facing a small donk, calling is standard and raising is a reasonable mix; solver leans toward calling but allows some large raises as a mix.

Turn Analysis

Turn 7h, SPR ≈0.5 and BB checks; with top pair and strong blockers, betting for value is preferred, but checking is defensible as a mix. Checking keeps the pot under control and avoids getting check-raised off our equity.

River Analysis

River 4s, BB shoves 49bb into ~143.5bb; we’re getting ~2.9:1 and need ~25.5% equity. AKs blocks AK and some strong Kx, so BB’s range is weighted toward bluffs and weaker Kx, making the call profitable.

Key Concepts

  • Protection Priority
  • Villain Strong Advantage
  • IP
  • Dry Board
  • 3.5:1 NEED:22.5%