AQo UTG on Q64r: AQo: Top Pair, Thin Stack
- Hero
- A♠Q♥
- Position
- UTG vs MP
- Pot
- Single-Raised Pot
- Flop
- 6♥ 4♣ Q♦
Open small with AQo, check flop, bet small on the turn, and call the raise with top pair getting good odds.
Flop Analysis
Flop Q64 rainbow, SPR ≈2.3. We have top pair with a medium SPR; checking range is standard and lets MP continue with their weaker hands. Solver prefers checking with this combo around 75% of the time, with some small bets mixed in. Checking here keeps our range protected and avoids getting check-raised off our equity by a short stack.
Turn Analysis
Turn 8c adds a club draw and improves some of MP’s range; a small stab is fine, but the 4.7BB sizing is a bit big for this combo. A 25–30% pot bet would apply similar pressure while risking less with a hand that’s still vulnerable to overpairs and strong draws.
Note: Turn sizing is unnecessarily large; a small 25–30% pot bet achieves similar pressure with less risk.
Turn Analysis
After we bet 4.7BB and MP raises to 12.6BB, we’re getting about 1.8:1 and need ~35.5% equity. Top pair with strong kicker has enough equity versus a range that still contains some bluffs and worse pairs, so calling is reasonable. Solver leans toward calling here, and folding would give up too much equity versus a raise that isn’t purely value-heavy.
Key Concepts
- Protection Priority
- Villain Slight Advantage
- OOP
- Dry Board
- LEAN TOWARD CHECK