QJs MP on T63fd: Small Flop, Medium Turn

Hero
Q♠J♠
Position
MP vs BB
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
6♠ 3♣ T♠

Open QJs, use a small flop c-bet, then lean on a medium turn bet; once the river bricks our draw, checking back is the best way to realize our equity.

Flop Analysis

Flop T63 rainbow, SPR ≈5.7, we have a strong range advantage and a spade draw with two overcards. Solver likes a small c-bet here, around 33% pot, to pressure BB’s capped range and charge their draws. Our 3.4BB bet into 5.5BB is slightly larger but still within a reasonable small-bet strategy.

Turn Analysis

Turn 7h is a good card for us: we still have a spade draw and our overcards are ahead of BB’s range. Solver prefers a medium 55–60% pot bet here, but a small 64% pot bet is still reasonable. We’re not overcommitting and still apply pressure to one-pair hands and weaker draws.

River Analysis

River 4h bricks our draw and leaves us with Q-high; with SPR ≈0.7 and BB’s range now stronger, checking back is standard. Our hand has no showdown value and we don’t want to bluff into a range that’s mostly made hands. Solver also leans heavily toward checking here, so we’re in good shape with this line.

Key Concepts

  • 5.7
  • Hero Strong Advantage
  • IP
  • Semi-Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD AGGRESSION