KQs BU on Q85fd: Top Pair, Flush Draw

Hero
Q♠K♠
Position
BU vs SB
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
8♠ 5♠ Q♦

Multiway we should check more on Q85ss, turn call the tiny donk with top pair + draw, and river can mix between checking and jamming.

Flop Analysis

Four-way to Q85ss with SPR ≈4, we should lean toward checking more often and use a smaller c-bet when we do bet; KQs with a flush draw is a reasonable candidate for a small stab. The 4.5BB sizing is a bit large for multiway and slightly over-inflates the pot.

Note: Multiway on Q85ss, prefer a smaller c-bet or more checking; the 4.5BB sizing is a bit large and over-inflates the pot.

Turn Analysis

Turn Jh is a very dynamic card: SB donks 1BB into ~17.9BB, giving us ~18:1 and needing only ~5% equity. With top pair + flush draw, we’re well ahead of that requirement and should just call; raising mostly folds out worse and gets action from better. Solver prefers calling here and only mixing in some large raises.

Note: Turn raise versus the tiny 1BB donk is too ambitious; with top pair + flush draw, calling the 18:1 price is the higher-EV option.

River Analysis

River 4h, SB checks and we have ~13.3BB left into ~46.9BB. Solver prefers checking a lot here with this combo, but jamming is a reasonable mix—SB can still call with worse queens, pairs, and missed draws. The shove is defensible as a value/protection bet.

Key Concepts

  • Protection Priority
  • Neutral Range
  • IP
  • Semi-Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK