A6o SB on K74r: River Decision On K74

Hero
A♣6♦
Position
SB vs BB
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
K♥ 7♦ 4♣

After flop and turn bets get called, river is a good spot to bluff with A-high, but sizing should be around 60–70% pot; a small stab doesn’t apply enough pressure.

Flop Analysis

On K74r, we have a small range advantage but our actual hand is just A-high with no real equity. Solver prefers a lot of checking here, mixing in some small bets with hands like A6o. The 2BB c-bet is fine as a mix, but checking would also be very reasonable.

Turn Analysis

Turn is a blank; after flop c-bet gets called, we continue betting 4BB into 11.5BB. This sizing is on the small side for a deep-stacked pot, but it still pressures BB’s capped range and keeps our story consistent with a strong but not nutted hand.

River Analysis

River, pot is 19.5BB and we have 91BB behind. After flop and turn bets get called, BB’s range is fairly strong and condensed. With A-high and no real showdown value, this is a good candidate to bluff, but the sizing should be around 60–70% pot to really pressure one-pair and weaker hands; a small 2BB bet doesn’t apply enough pressure to fold out enough of BB’s range.

Key Concepts

  • 12.9
  • Hero Slight Advantage
  • OOP
  • Dry Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK