A5o BB on KT4fd: Overplaying A5o Multiway

Hero
A♠5♥
Position
BB vs UTG
Pot
Limp-Raise Pot
Flop
T♣ K♠ 4♣

Defend A5o vs limp wider but mostly call; once we raise and see a K-high flop, checking down is best, and on the river a small bet or check with top pair is higher EV than a big bet.

Flop Analysis

Flop K-T-4 with two clubs, three-way. UTG and SB have more strong Kx and Tx than we do, so checking our entire range is standard. With A5o we have ace-high and no real equity or blockers, so betting would just burn chips; checking and seeing what UTG and SB do is the right idea.

Turn Analysis

Turn 7d is a brick that doesn’t change much for us. After three checks on the flop, UTG’s range is still strong but condensed, and our A5 is still just ace-high with no real blockers. Betting now would mostly fold out worse and get called by better; checking again and taking our showdown is best.

River Analysis

River Ah gives us top pair but UTG still has more strong Ax and Kx. Theory leans toward a mix of small bets and checks with this combo; a small bet targets worse Ax and some Tx, while a check avoids getting raised by stronger Ax. The 15bb bet into 16bb is over-optimistic and mostly gets action from hands that beat us.

Note: River bet sizing is too big; a small bet or check with top pair is higher EV than a large bet that mostly gets called by stronger Ax.

Key Concepts

  • 5.4
  • Villain Strong Advantage
  • OOP
  • Semi-Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK