A6o SB on 633fd: Deep-Stack Set, Deep-Stack Jam

Hero
A♠6♥
Position
SB vs BB
Pot
Single-Raised Pot
Flop
3♣ 6♠ 3♠

On a paired, low board with a strong set, a medium turn bet or check is preferred; jamming 1.45x pot is overkill and only gets called by the very strongest hands.

Flop Analysis

Flop 3c-6s-3s gives us middle set with a strong kicker and a backdoor nut flush draw on a paired, semi-wet board. Solver likes a mix of small and medium bets with some checking; betting 26bb into 25.5bb (≈1x pot) is well within that strategy. We apply pressure to BB’s defend range, charge overcards and draws, and set up a straightforward turn decision with SPR around 5–6.

Turn Analysis

Turn 8d, BB checks again. With SPR ≈1.45, we’re effectively committed and our hand is still very strong but not invulnerable—BB can have trips, 6x, or strong draws. Solver leans toward checking here and using a medium or overbet size when betting; shoving 111.8bb into 77.5bb is unnecessarily large and risks getting snapped by only the very top of BB’s range. A medium turn bet or check would have achieved similar value while risking less when we’re already in a committed spot.

Note: Jamming 111.8bb into 77.5bb on the turn is overkill; a medium turn bet or check is preferred with SPR ≈1.45.

Key Concepts

  • 5.4
  • Villain Slight Advantage
  • IP
  • Semi-Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK