A8o BB on 766r: A8o: Deep, Polarized

Hero
8♠A♥
Position
BB vs BU
Pot
Limp-Raise Pot
Flop
6♥ 6♣ 7♠

Defend pre, check flop and turn, and mostly check river with A-high; a small block bet can be mixed in, but checking is slightly higher EV.

Flop Analysis

Flop 6-6-7 rainbow is very connected and BU’s limp-call range has plenty of 7x and pocket pairs, so we’re slightly behind. With A-high and no real draw, checking range is standard; betting would mostly fold out worse and get called by better.

Turn Analysis

Turn 2d is a brick; after both players check flop, BU’s turn bet is polarized, but we’re getting about 2.2:1 and need only ~31% equity. A-high with some showdown value and a few outs to improve is a reasonable call.

Turn Analysis

Turn call leaves BU with ~19BB behind and SPR ~1. River Td gives us a gutshot to Broadway; with SPR ~0.7 and BU’s range polarized, we should mostly check and let BU bluff, but a small block bet can be mixed in. The 7BB block bet is a reasonable sizing, but the solver prefers checking this combo.

Note: River block bet is reasonable but slightly lower EV than checking; solver prefers checking A-high here.

Key Concepts

  • 2.7
  • Villain Slight Advantage
  • OOP
  • Wet Board
  • LEAN TOWARD CHECK