AKs CO on K92r: Top Pair, Top Kicker

Hero
A♥K♥
Position
CO
Pot
3-Bet Pot
Flop
K♦ 9♣ 2♠

AK plays great as a call pre, then we can lean on checking back turn and always call the tiny river donk.

Flop Analysis

Flop Kd-9c-2s gives us top pair/top kicker on a relatively dry board. BB leads small into a big pot; solver wants us to call almost always, with only a small amount of large raises. Raising to 22.5bb is a bit too aggressive and mainly gets action from stronger Kx and sets.

Note: Flop raise is slightly too ambitious; calling the small donk with top pair/top kicker is higher EV and keeps our line more balanced.

Turn Analysis

Turn 7h is a complete brick; after BB calls our flop raise, their range is heavily weighted to strong Kx and sets. With SPR now under 2, checking back is a solid, low-variance option that avoids getting check-raised off our hand and keeps our overall strategy balanced.

River Analysis

River 4c bricks again and BB donks 1bb into ~67.5bb. We’re getting ~67.5:1 and need ~1.5% equity, so calling is mandatory—there’s no fold here.

Key Concepts

  • Protection Priority
  • Villain Slight Advantage
  • IP
  • Dry Board
  • 3.9:1 NEED:20.5%